Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models
| Title: | Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models |
| Author: |
Campbell, John; Shiller, Robert
Note: Order does not necessarily reflect citation order of authors. |
| Citation: | Campbell, John Y., and Robert J. Shiller. 1987. Cointegration and tests of present value models. Journal of Political Economy 95(5): 1062-1088. |
| Full Text & Related Files: |
campbell_cointegration.pdf (1.100Mb; PDF) 
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| Abstract: | Application of some advances in econometrics (in the theory of co-integrated vector autoregressive models) enables us to deal effectively with two problems in rational expectations present value models: nonstationarity of time series and incomplete data on information of market participants. With U.S. data, we find some relatively encouraging new results for the rational expectations theory of the term structure and some puzzling results for the present value model of stock prices. |
| Published Version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/261502 |
| Terms of Use: | This article is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Other Posted Material, as set forth at http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of-use#LAA |
| Citable link to this page: | http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:3122490 |
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Peer reviewed scholarly articles from the Faculty of Arts and Sciences of Harvard University
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