An Easier Way to Calibrate
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| dc.contributor.author |
Fudenberg, Drew
|
|
| dc.contributor.author |
Levine, David |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2009-08-05T19:20:58Z |
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| dc.date.issued |
1999 |
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| dc.identifier.citation |
Fudenberg, Drew, and David K. Levine. 1999. An easier way to calibrate. Games and Economic Behavior 29(1-2): 131-137. |
en |
| dc.identifier.issn |
0899-8256 |
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| dc.identifier.uri |
http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:3203773 |
|
| dc.description.abstract |
Forecasts are said to be calibrated if the frequency predictions are approximately correct. This is a refinement of an idea first introduced by David Blackwell in 1955. We show that “<i>K</i>-initialized myopic strategies” are approximately calibrated when <i>K</i> is large. These strategies first “initialize” by making each forecast exactly <i>K</i> times, and thereafter play, in each period <i>t</i>, the minmax strategy in a static game. |
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| dc.description.sponsorship |
Economics |
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| dc.language.iso |
en_US |
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| dc.publisher |
Elsevier |
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| dc.relation.isversionof |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0726 |
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| dash.license |
LAA |
|
| dc.title |
An Easier Way to Calibrate |
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| dc.relation.journal |
Games and Economic Behavior |
en |
| dash.depositing.author |
Fudenberg, Drew
|
|
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FAS Scholarly Articles [5171]
Peer reviewed scholarly articles from the Faculty of Arts and Sciences of Harvard University
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