An Easier Way to Calibrate

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An Easier Way to Calibrate

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dc.contributor.author Fudenberg, Drew
dc.contributor.author Levine, David
dc.date.accessioned 2009-08-05T19:20:58Z
dc.date.issued 1999
dc.identifier.citation Fudenberg, Drew, and David K. Levine. 1999. An easier way to calibrate. Games and Economic Behavior 29(1-2): 131-137. en
dc.identifier.issn 0899-8256 en
dc.identifier.uri http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:3203773
dc.description.abstract Forecasts are said to be calibrated if the frequency predictions are approximately correct. This is a refinement of an idea first introduced by David Blackwell in 1955. We show that “<i>K</i>-initialized myopic strategies” are approximately calibrated when <i>K</i> is large. These strategies first “initialize” by making each forecast exactly <i>K</i> times, and thereafter play, in each period <i>t</i>, the minmax strategy in a static game. en
dc.description.sponsorship Economics en
dc.language.iso en_US en
dc.publisher Elsevier en
dc.relation.isversionof http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0726 en
dash.license LAA
dc.title An Easier Way to Calibrate en
dc.relation.journal Games and Economic Behavior en
dash.depositing.author Fudenberg, Drew

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  • FAS Scholarly Articles [7220]
    Peer reviewed scholarly articles from the Faculty of Arts and Sciences of Harvard University

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