An Easier Way to Calibrate

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An Easier Way to Calibrate

Show simple item record Fudenberg, Drew Levine, David 2009-08-05T19:20:58Z 1999
dc.identifier.citation Fudenberg, Drew, and David K. Levine. 1999. An easier way to calibrate. Games and Economic Behavior 29(1-2): 131-137. en
dc.identifier.issn 0899-8256 en
dc.description.abstract Forecasts are said to be calibrated if the frequency predictions are approximately correct. This is a refinement of an idea first introduced by David Blackwell in 1955. We show that “<i>K</i>-initialized myopic strategies” are approximately calibrated when <i>K</i> is large. These strategies first “initialize” by making each forecast exactly <i>K</i> times, and thereafter play, in each period <i>t</i>, the minmax strategy in a static game. en
dc.description.sponsorship Economics en
dc.language.iso en_US en
dc.publisher Elsevier en
dc.relation.isversionof en
dash.license LAA
dc.title An Easier Way to Calibrate en
dc.relation.journal Games and Economic Behavior en Fudenberg, Drew

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