Identifying Intra-Party Voting Blocs in UK House of Commons

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Identifying Intra-Party Voting Blocs in UK House of Commons

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dc.contributor.author Spirling, Arthur P
dc.contributor.author Quinn, Kevin
dc.date.accessioned 2009-10-28T15:03:24Z
dc.date.issued 2009-10-28
dc.identifier.citation Spirling, Arthur and Kevin Quinn. Forthcoming. Identifying Intra-Party Voting Blocs in UK House of Commons. Journal of the American Statistical Association. en_US
dc.identifier.issn 0162-1459 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 0003-1291 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:3356139
dc.description.abstract Legislative voting records are an important source of information about legislator preferences, intra-party cohesiveness, and the divisiveness of various policy issues. Standard methods of analyzing a legislative voting record tend to have serious drawbacks when applied to legislatures, such as the UK House of Commons, that feature highly disciplined parties, strategic voting, and large amounts of missing data. We present a method (based on a Dirichlet process mixture model) for analyzing such voting records that does not suffer from these same problems. Our method is model-based and thus allows one to make probability statements about quantities of interest. It allows one to estimate the number of voting blocs within a party or any other group of MPs. Finally, it can be used as both a predictive model and an exploratory model. We illustrate these points through an application of the method to the voting records of Labour Party MPs in the 1997-2001 session of the UK House of Commons. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship Government en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher American Statistical Association en_US
dc.relation.isversionof http://www.amstat.org/publications/jasa.cfm en_US
dash.license OAP
dc.title Identifying Intra-Party Voting Blocs in UK House of Commons en_US
dc.type Journal Article en_US
dc.description.version Accepted Manuscript en_US
dc.relation.journal Journal of the American Statistical Association en_US
dash.depositing.author Spirling, Arthur P
dc.date.available 2009-10-28T15:03:24Z

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  • FAS Scholarly Articles [7587]
    Peer reviewed scholarly articles from the Faculty of Arts and Sciences of Harvard University

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