Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies
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| dc.contributor.author |
Roubini, Nouriel |
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| dc.contributor.author |
Cohen, Gerald |
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| dc.contributor.author |
Alesina, Alberto
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| dc.date.accessioned |
2010-11-09T20:09:51Z |
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| dc.date.issued |
1992 |
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| dc.identifier.citation |
Alesina, Alberto, Gerald D. Cohen, and Nouriel Roubini. 1992. Macroeconomic policy and elections in OECD democracies. Economics & Politics 4(1): 1-30. |
en_US |
| dc.identifier.issn |
0954-1985 |
en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:4553023 |
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| dc.description.abstract |
The purpose of this paper is to test for evidence of opportunistic "political business cycles" in a large sample of 18 OECD economies. Our results can be summarized as follows: 1) We find very little evidence of pre-electoral effects on economic outcomes, in particular, on GDP growth and unemployment; 2) We see some evidence of "political monetary cycles," that is, expansionary monetary policy in election years; 3) We also observe indications of "political budget cycles," or "loose" fiscal policy prior to elections; 4) Inflation exhibits a post-electoral jump, which could be explained by either the pre-electoral "loose" monetary and fiscal policies and/or by an opportunistic timing of increases in publicly controlled prices, or indirect taxes. |
en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship |
Economics |
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| dc.language.iso |
en_US |
en_US |
| dc.publisher |
Blackwell Publishing |
en_US |
| dc.relation.isversionof |
doi:10.1111/j.1468-0343.1992.tb00052.x |
en_US |
| dash.license |
LAA |
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| dc.title |
Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies |
en_US |
| dc.type |
Journal Article |
en_US |
| dc.description.version |
Author's Original |
en_US |
| dc.relation.journal |
Economics & Politics |
en_US |
| dash.depositing.author |
Alesina, Alberto
|
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| dc.date.available |
2010-11-09T20:09:51Z |
|
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FAS Scholarly Articles [5137]
Peer reviewed scholarly articles from the Faculty of Arts and Sciences of Harvard University
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