Browsing by Author "Tingley, Martin"
Now showing items 1-9 of 9
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A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part 1: Development and Applications to Paleoclimate Reconstruction Problems
Tingley, Martin Patrick; Huybers, Peter John (American Meteorological Society, 2010)Reconstructing the spatial pattern of a climate field through time from a dataset of overlapping instrumental and climate proxy time series is a nontrivial statistical problem. The need to transform the proxy observations ... -
A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part 2: Comparison with the Regularized Expectation-Maximization Algorithm
Tingley, Martin Patrick; Huybers, Peter John (American Meterological Union, 2010)Part I presented a Bayesian algorithm for reconstructing climate anomalies in space and time (BARCAST). This method involves specifying simple parametric forms for the spatial covariance and temporal evolution of the climate ... -
Cooling of US Midwest summer temperature extremes from cropland intensification
Mueller, Nathaniel Dean; Butler, Ethan E; McKinnon, Karen Aline; Rhines, Andrew Nelson; Tingley, Martin; Holbrook, Noel Michele; Huybers, Peter John (Nature Publishing Group, 2015)High temperature extremes during the growing season can reduce agricultural production. At the same time, agricultural practices can modify temperatures by altering the surface energy budget. Here we identify centennial ... -
Decoding the precision of historical temperature observations
Rhines, Andrew Nelson; Tingley, Martin; McKinnon, Karen Aline; Huybers, Peter John (Wiley-Blackwell, 2015)Historical observations of temperature underpin our ability to monitor Earth’s climate. We identify a pervasive issue in archived observations from surface stations, wherein the use of varying conventions for units and ... -
Heterogeneous warming of Northern Hemisphere surface temperatures over the last 1200 years
Tingley, Martin; Huybers, Peter John (Wiley-Blackwell, 2015)The relationship between the mean and spatial variability of Northern Hemisphere surface temperature anomalies over the last 1200 years is examined using instrumental and proxy records. Nonparametric statistical tests ... -
Long-lead predictions of eastern United States hot days from Pacific sea surface temperatures
McKinnon, Karen Aline; Rhines, Andrew Nelson; Tingley, M; Huybers, Peter John (Nature Publishing Group, 2016)Seasonal forecast models exhibit only modest skill in predicting extreme summer temperatures across the eastern US. Anomalies in sea surface temperature and monthly-resolution rainfall have, however, been correlated with ... -
Recent temperature extremes at high northern latitudes unprecedented in the past 600 years
Tingley, Martin; Huybers, Peter John (Nature Publishing Group, 2013) -
Temperature reconstructions from tree-ring densities overestimate volcanic cooling
Tingley, Martin; Stine, Alexander Robin; Huybers, Peter John (Wiley-Blackwell, 2014)The fidelity of inferences on volcanic cooling from tree-ring density records has recently come into question, with competing claims that temperature reconstructions based on tree-ring records underestimate cooling due to ... -
U.S. Daily Temperatures: The Meaning of Extremes in the Context of Nonnormality
Huybers, Peter John; McKinnon, Karen Aline; Rhines, Andrew Nelson; Tingley, M (American Meteorological Society, 2014)Variations in extreme daily temperatures are explored in relation to changes in seasonal mean temperature using 1218 high-quality U.S. temperature stations spanning 1900–2012. Extreme temperatures are amplified (or damped) ...