Browsing by Author "Spirling, Arthur"
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Bayesian Approaches for Limited Dependent Variable Change Point Problems
Spirling, Arthur P (Oxford University Press, 2007)Limited dependent variable (LDV) data are common in political science, and political methodologists have given much good advice on dealing with them. We review some methods for LDV "change point problems" and demonstrate ... -
Essays on Political Methodology and Data Science
Kashin, Konstantin Daniel (2015-05-15)This collection of six essays makes novel methodological contributions to causal inference, time-series cross-sectional forecasting, and supervised text analysis. The first three essays start from the premise that while ... -
Going Political: Labor, Institutions and Democratic Unrest in North Africa
Anderson, Ashley A. (2016-08-24)Since the industrial revolution first united workers and politics, union activism has been a key driver of not only economic progress but also of political change. Where unions have engaged in significant political ... -
Identifying Intra-Party Voting Blocs in UK House of Commons
Spirling, Arthur P; Quinn, Kevin (American Statistical Association, 2009-10-28)Legislative voting records are an important source of information about legislator preferences, intra-party cohesiveness, and the divisiveness of various policy issues. Standard methods of analyzing a legislative voting ... -
None of the Above: The UK House of Commons Votes on Reforming the House of Lords, February 2003
McLean, Iain; Spirling, Arthur P; Russell, Meg (Wiley-Blackwell, 2003) -
Political Finance in Developing States
Luna, Joseph P. (2016-05-17)In developing countries, political activities are expensive. During campaigns, candidates and parties incur the costs of hiring staff, advertising, traveling and potentially buying votes. Between elections, citizens exert ... -
Scaling the Critics: Uncovering the Latent Dimensions of Movie Criticism with an Item Response Approach
Peress, Michael; Spirling, Arthur P (American Statistical Association, 2009-10-28)We study the critical opinions of expert movie reviewers as an item response problem. Building on earlier ‘unfolding’ models, we develop a framework that models an individual’s decision to approve or disapprove of an item. ... -
Three Essays on U.S. - China Relations
Baggott, Erin Ashley (2016-05-18)My dissertation argues that the United States and China employ diplomacy to secure international cooperation, but that their domestic politics render it more elusive. International relations theory regards talk as cheap. ... -
"Turning Points" in the Iraq Conflict: Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Political Science
Spirling, Arthur P (American Statistical Association, 2007)We consider and explore structural breaks in a day-by-day time series of civilian casualties for the current Iraq conflict: an undertaking of potential interest to scholars of international relations, comparative politics, ... -
Under the Influence? Intellectual Exchange in Political Science
Carter, David; Spirling, Arthur P (Cambridge University Press, 2008)We study the performance of political science journals in terms of their contribution to intellectual exchange in the discipline. Relying on the interplay of citation patterns, our method is simple, cheap, objective and ...