Now showing items 1-20 of 24

    • Anti-Americanism and Anti-Interventionism in Arabic Twitter Discourses 

      Jamal, Amaney A.; Keohane, Robert O.; Romney, David; Tingley, Dustin (Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2015-03)
      Systematic investigation of attitudes expressed in Arabic on Twitter towards the United States and Iran during 2012-13 shows how the analysis of social media can illuminate the politics of contemporary political discourses ...
    • Assortative Mating on Ideology Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues 

      McDermott, Rose; Tingley, Dustin; Hatemi, Peter K. (Wiley, 2014-09-02)
      Mates appear to assort on political attitudes more than any other social, behavioral, or physical trait, besides religion. Yet the process by which ideologically similar mates end up together remains ambiguous. Mates do ...
    • Belief Updating in Sequential Games of Two-Sided Incomplete Information: An Experimental Study of a Crisis Bargaining Model 

      Tingley, Dustin (Now Publishers, 2010-12-22)
      We investigate theoretically and experimentally the crisis bargaining model, a dynamic game of two-sided incomplete information with player types drawn from a commonly known distribution. Little work has been done to analyze ...
    • Causal Mediation Analysis 

      Hicks, Raymond; Tingley, Dustin (SAGE Publications, 2012-01)
      Estimating the mechanisms that connect explanatory variables with the explained variable, also known as "mediation analysis," is central to a variety of social-science fields, especially psychology, and increasingly to ...
    • Certainty and War 

      Schub, Robert Jay (2016-05-11)
      Does greater certainty about an adversary’s attributes cause peace? What states believe they can secure through force dictates the diplomatic settlements they will accept. In prevailing accounts which preclude assessment ...
    • The Charmed Life of Superstar Exporters: Survey Evidence on Firms and Trade Policy 

      Osgood, Iain; Tingley, Dustin; Bernauer, Thomas; Kim, In Song; Milner, Helen V.; Spilker, Gabriele (University of Chicago Press, 2017-01)
      What factors determine firms' attitudes toward trade policy? This paper considers producers' policy preferences and political behavior in light of two key patterns in modern international trade: industries that face import ...
    • The Choice for Multilateralism: Foreign Aid and American Foreign Policy 

      Milner, Helen V.; Tingley, Dustin (Springer Nature, 2012-09-15)
      Why do governments choose multilateralism? We examine a principal-agent model in which states trade some control over the policy for greater burden sharing. The theory generates observable hypotheses regarding the reasons ...
    • Computer-Assisted Text Analysis for Comparative Politics 

      Lucas, Christopher; Nielsen, Richard A.; Roberts, Margaret E.; Stewart, Brandon M.; Storer, Alex; Tingley, Dustin (Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2015)
      Recent advances in research tools for the systematic analysis of textual data are enabling exciting new research throughout the social sciences. For comparative politics, scholars who are often interested in non-English ...
    • Dead Certain 

      Johnson, Dominic D. P.; McDermott, Rose; Cowden, Jon; Tingley, Dustin (Springer Nature, 2012-03)
    • Dissecting Direct and Indirect Genetic Effects on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Susceptibility 

      Siedlinski, Mateusz; Tingley, Dustin; Lipman, Peter J.; Cho, Michael H.; Litonjua, Augusto A.; Sparrow, David; Bakke, Per; Gulsvik, Amund; Lomas, David A.; Anderson, Wayne; Kong, Xiangyang; Rennard, Stephen I.; Beaty, Terri H.; Hokanson, John E.; Crapo, James D.; Lange, Christoph; Silverman, Edwin K. (Springer Nature, 2013-01-09)
      Cigarette smoking is the major environmental risk factor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Genome-wide association studies have provided compelling associations for three loci with COPD. In this study, we ...
    • Empirical Essays on Secrecy and Security in the United States 

      Gill, Michael Zachary (2016-09-16)
      This dissertation analyzes longstanding issues in U.S. foreign policy and political economy with novel data and research methods. Chapter 1 asks: to what extent do “surprise” shifts in the international security environment ...
    • Experimental Designs for Identifying Causal Mechanisms 

      Imai, Kosuke; Tingley, Dustin; Yamamoto, Teppei (Wiley, 2012-11-01)
    • Face-Off: Facial Features and Strategic Choice 

      Tingley, Dustin (Wiley, 2013-08-19)
      I study experimentally a single-shot trust game where players have the opportunity to choose an avatara computer-generated faceto represent them. These avatars vary on several dimensionstrustworthiness, dominance, and ...
    • A General Approach to Causal Mediation Analysis 

      Imai, Kosuke; Keele, Luke; Tingley, Dustin (American Psychological Association (APA), 2010)
      Traditionally in the social sciences, causal mediation analysis has been formulated, understood, and implemented within the framework of linear structural equation models. We argue and demonstrate that this is problematic ...
    • How To Be a Peer Reviewer: A Guide for Recent and Soon-to-be PhDs 

      Miller, Beth; Pevehouse, Jon; Rogowski, Ron; Tingley, Dustin; Wilson, Rick (Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2013-01)
      Peer review is central to political science. In this article we collect the ideas of journal editors in political science and several recent PhDs, who met as a panel at the 2011 American Political Science Association Annual ...
    • Mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis 

      Tingley, Dustin; Yamamoto, Teppei; Hirose, Kentaro; Keele, Luke; Imai, Kosuke (Foundation for Open Access Statistic, 2014)
      In this paper, we describe the R package mediation for conducting causal mediation analysis in applied empirical research. In many scientific disciplines, the goal of researchers is not only estimating causal effects of a ...
    • The Political Economy of Inward FDI: Opposition to Chinese Mergers and Acquisitions 

      Xu, C.; Chilton, A.; Milner, H. V.; Tingley, Dustin (Oxford University Press (OUP), 2015-01-19)
      A great deal of political economy scholarship has focused on how countries can attract foreign direct investment (FDI), and the effects of FDI on growth and political stability. A related topic that has received almost no ...
    • Public Opinion and Foreign Aid: A Review Essay 

      Milner, Helen V.; Tingley, Dustin (Informa UK Limited, 2013-07)
    • The shadow of the future promotes cooperation in a repeated prisoner’s dilemma for children 

      Blake, Peter R.; Rand, David G.; Tingley, Dustin; Warneken, Felix (Nature Publishing Group, 2015)
      Cooperation among genetically unrelated individuals can be supported by direct reciprocity. Theoretical models and experiments with adults show that the possibility of future interactions with the same partner can promote ...
    • Solar geoengineering and the chemtrails conspiracy on social media 

      Tingley, Dustin; Wagner, Gernot (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2017-10-31)
      Discourse on social media of solar geoengineering has been rapidly increasing over the past decade, in line with increased attention by the scientific community and low but increasing awareness among the general public. ...