Now showing items 1-4 of 4

    • Certainty and War 

      Schub, Robert Jay (2016-05-11)
      Does greater certainty about an adversary’s attributes cause peace? What states believe they can secure through force dictates the diplomatic settlements they will accept. In prevailing accounts which preclude assessment ...
    • Empirical Essays on Secrecy and Security in the United States 

      Gill, Michael Zachary (2016-09-16)
      This dissertation analyzes longstanding issues in U.S. foreign policy and political economy with novel data and research methods. Chapter 1 asks: to what extent do “surprise” shifts in the international security environment ...
    • The shadow of the future promotes cooperation in a repeated prisoner’s dilemma for children 

      Blake, Peter R.; Rand, David G.; Tingley, Dustin; Warneken, Felix (Nature Publishing Group, 2015)
      Cooperation among genetically unrelated individuals can be supported by direct reciprocity. Theoretical models and experiments with adults show that the possibility of future interactions with the same partner can promote ...
    • Three Papers in Political Methodology 

      Stewart, Brandon Michael (2015-05-18)
      This collection of three papers develops two statistical techniques for addressing canonical problems in applied computational social science: unsupervised text analysis and regression with dependent data. In both cases ...