Browsing Faculty of Arts and Sciences by Keyword "election"

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    • Estimating the Probability of Events that Have Never Occurred: When is Your Vote Decisive? 

      Gelman, Andrew; King, Gary; Boscardin, John (American Statistical Association, 1998)
      Researchers sometimes argue that statisticians have little to contribute when few realizations of the process being estimated are observed. We show that this argument is incorrect even in the extreme situation of estimating ...

    • Strategy-Proofness of Voting Rules Under Voter Beliefs 

      Li, Rachel (2023-06-30)
      We use the notion of ordinal Bayesian incentive compatibility (OBIC) to study vote manipulation in the setting where voters possess probabilistic beliefs on how others will vote. We consider the general family of positively ...