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dc.contributor.authorHill, Kenneth H.
dc.contributor.authorYou, Danzhen
dc.contributor.authorInoue, Mie
dc.contributor.authorOestergaard, Mikkel Z.
dc.date.accessioned2013-04-18T17:39:55Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.identifier.citationHill, Kenneth, Danzhen You, Mie Inoue, Mikkel Z. Oestergaard. 2012. Child mortality estimation: accelerated progress in reducing global child mortality, 1990–2010. PLoS Medicine 9(8): e1001303.en_US
dc.identifier.issn1549-1277en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:10578989
dc.description.abstractMonitoring development indicators has become a central interest of international agencies and countries for tracking progress towards the Millennium Development Goals. In this review, which also provides an introduction to a collection of articles, we describe the methodology used by the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation to track country-specific changes in the key indicator for Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4), the decline of the under-five mortality rate (the probability of dying between birth and age five, also denoted in the literature as U5MR and 5q0). We review how relevant data from civil registration, sample registration, population censuses, and household surveys are compiled and assessed for United Nations member states, and how time series regression models are fitted to all points of acceptable quality to establish the trends in U5MR from which infant and neonatal mortality rates are generally derived. The application of this methodology indicates that, between 1990 and 2010, the global U5MR fell from 88 to 57 deaths per 1,000 live births, and the annual number of under-five deaths fell from 12.0 to 7.6 million. Although the annual rate of reduction in the U5MR accelerated from 1.9% for the period 1990–2000 to 2.5% for the period 2000–2010, it remains well below the 4.4% annual rate of reduction required to achieve the MDG 4 goal of a two-thirds reduction in U5MR from its 1990 value by 2015. Thus, despite progress in reducing child mortality worldwide, and an encouraging increase in the pace of decline over the last two decades, MDG 4 will not be met without greatly increasing efforts to reduce child deaths.en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherPublic Library of Scienceen_US
dc.relation.isversionofdoi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001303en_US
dc.relation.hasversionhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3429379/pdf/en_US
dash.licenseLAA
dc.subjectMedicineen_US
dc.subjectGlobal Healthen_US
dc.subjectPublic Healthen_US
dc.subjectChild Healthen_US
dc.subjectSocial and Behavioral Sciencesen_US
dc.subjectSociologyen_US
dc.subjectDemographyen_US
dc.subjectDeath Rateen_US
dc.titleChild Mortality Estimation: Accelerated Progress in Reducing Global Child Mortality, 1990–2010en_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.description.versionVersion of Recorden_US
dc.relation.journalPLoS Medicineen_US
dash.depositing.authorHill, Kenneth H.
dc.date.available2013-04-18T17:39:55Z
dc.identifier.doi10.1371/journal.pmed.1001303*
dash.contributor.affiliatedHill, Kenneth


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