Trade Prices and the Global Trade Collapse of 2008–09

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Trade Prices and the Global Trade Collapse of 2008–09

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Title: Trade Prices and the Global Trade Collapse of 2008–09
Author: Gopinath, Gita; Itskhoki, Oleg; Neiman, Brent

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Citation: Gopinath, Gita, Oleg Itskhoki, and Brent Neiman. 2012. “Trade Prices and the Global Trade Collapse of 2008–09.” IMF Economic Review 60 (3) (September): 303-328.
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Abstract: We document the behavior of trade prices during the Great Trade Collapse of 2008- 2009 using transaction-level data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. First, we find that differentiated manufactures exhibited marked stability in their trade prices during the large decline in their trade volumes. Prices of non-differentiated manufactures, by contrast, declined sharply. Second, while the trade collapse was much steeper among differentiated durable manufacturers than among non-durables, prices in both categories barely changed. Third, the frequency and magnitude of price adjustments at the product level changed with the onset of the crisis, consistent with a state-dependent view of price adjustment. The quantitative magnitudes of the changes, however, were not pronounced enough to affect aggregate prices. Our findings present a challenge for theories of the trade collapse based on cost shocks specific to traded goods that work through prices.
Published Version: doi:10.1057/imfer.2012.17
Terms of Use: This article is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Open Access Policy Articles, as set forth at
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