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dc.contributor.authorKissler, Stephen
dc.contributor.authorTedijanto, Christine
dc.contributor.authorLipsitch, Marc
dc.contributor.authorGrad, Yonatan
dc.date.accessioned2020-03-23T09:51:37Z
dc.date.issued2020-03
dc.identifier.citationKissler, Stephen, Christine Tedijanto, Marc Lipsitch, and Yonatan Grad. Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic (March 2020).en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:42638988*
dc.description.abstractThe SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is straining healthcare resources worldwide, prompting social distancing measures to reduce transmission intensity. The amount of social distancing needed to curb the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the context of seasonally varying transmission remains unclear. Using a mathematical model, we assessed that one-time interventions will be insufficient to maintain COVID-19 prevalence within the critical care capacity of the United States. Seasonal variation in transmission will facilitate epidemic control during the summer months but could lead to an intense resurgence in the autumn. Intermittent distancing measures can maintain control of the epidemic, but without other interventions, these measures may be necessary into 2022. Increasing critical care capacity could reduce the duration of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic while ensuring that critically ill patients receive appropriate care.en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dash.licenseLAA
dc.titleSocial distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemicen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.description.versionAuthor's Originalen_US
dash.depositing.authorLipsitch, Marc
dc.date.available2020-03-23T09:51:37Z
dash.affiliation.otherHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Healthen_US
dash.contributor.affiliatedTedijanto, Christine
dash.contributor.affiliatedKissler, Stephen
dash.contributor.affiliatedGrad, Yonatan
dash.contributor.affiliatedLipsitch, Marc


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