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dc.contributor.authorKing, Gary
dc.date.accessioned2010-07-16T20:26:40Z
dc.date.issued1991
dc.identifier.citationKing, Gary. 1991. "Truth" is stranger than prediction, more questionable than causal inference. American Journal of Political Science 35(4): 1047-1053.en_US
dc.identifier.issn0092-5853en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:4313303
dc.description.abstractRobert Luskin's article in this issue provides a useful service by appropriately qualifying several points I made in my 1986 American Journal of Political Science article. Whereas I focused on how to avoid common mistakes in quantitative political science, Luskin clarifies ways to extract some useful information from usually problematic statistics: correlation coefficients, standardized coefficients, and especially RZ. Since these three statistics are very closely related (and indeed deterministic functions of one another in some cases), I focus in this discussion primarily on R2, the most widely used and abused. Luskin also widens the discussion to various kinds of specification tests, a general issue I also address. In fact, as Beck (1991) reports, a large number of formal specification tests are just functions of R2, with differences among them primarily due to how much each statistic penalizes one for including extra parameters and fewer observations.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipGovernmenten_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherMidwest Political Science Associationen_US
dc.relation.isversionofdoi:10.2307/2111506en_US
dc.relation.hasversionhttp://gking.harvard.edu/files/truth.pdfen_US
dash.licenseLAA
dc.title"Truth" is Stranger than Prediction, More Questionable than Causal Inferenceen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.description.versionVersion of Recorden_US
dc.relation.journalAmerican Journal of Political Scienceen_US
dash.depositing.authorKing, Gary
dc.date.available2010-07-16T20:26:40Z
dc.identifier.doi10.2307/2111506*
dash.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5327-7631*
dash.contributor.affiliatedKing, Gary
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5327-7631


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