This dissertation presents three essays. The first essay, coauthored with Tomasz Strzalecki, is a classical exercise in axiomatic decision theory. We propose a simple and novel axiomatization of quasi-hyperbolic discounting, ...

In this dissertation, I address issues related to both statistical and causal inference in time series in three independent chapters. In the first chapter, coauthored with E. Lazarus and J. H. Stock, we use higher-order ...