Person:

Wasfy, Jason

Patient: Male, 69 Final Diagnosis: Coronary artery disease Symptoms: Angina pectoris Medication: Aspirin Clinical Procedure: Coronary artery bypass surgery Specialty: Cardiology Objective: Unusual clinical course Background: A preponderance of evidence supports short-term aspirin usage to reduce transiently increased cardiovascular risk in clinical conditions that promote acute myocardial ischemia. Case Report: We report on the case of a 69-year-old male of Muslim Indian heritage with multiple cardiovascular risk factors who experienced the onset of angina pectoris while fasting for Ramadan for more than 16 hours daily for 30 days in July 2015. While symptom free for 2 months on medical management after ending his fast, he underwent quadruple coronary artery bypass surgery for severe 4-vessel disease following an acute anterior myocardial infarction. A percutaneous coronary intervention with stent placement was subsequently required for persistent myocardial ischemia on stress-MIBI testing due to occlusion of the graft to left anterior descending artery. Presently asymptomatic, he decided to forgo fasting for Ramadan in June 2016. Conclusions: Based on this case, measures for primary cardiovascular prevention among the 1.2 billion susceptible males at similar high short-term cardiac risk while fasting for Ramadan are proposed. The value of aspirin for attenuating high short-term cardiovascular risk in clinical conditions conferring transient inflammatory stress is considered. Low-dose aspirin usage at evening meals while fasting for Ramadan is prudent for primary cardiovascular protection of males who may have non-obstructive coronary atherosclerosis to mitigate the risk for rupture of potentially vulnerable plaques. Based in part on conclusive evidence for protection of middle-aged males from first myocardial infarction in a randomized prospective primary prevention trial, this measure is concordant with recommendations from sub-specialty societies for primary cardiovascular prevention for persons at above-average risk demonstrated by validated biomarkers and from the United States Preventive Services Task Force.

Background: Understanding the sources of variation for high‐cost services has the potential to improve both patient outcomes and value in health care delivery. Nationally, the overall diagnostic yield of coronary angiography is relatively low, suggesting overutilization. Understanding how individual cardiologists request catheterization may suggest opportunities for improving quality and value. We aimed to assess and explain variation in positive angiograms among referring cardiologists. Methods and Results: We identified all cases of diagnostic coronary angiography at Massachusetts General Hospital from January 1, 2012, to June 30, 2013. We excluded angiograms for acute coronary syndrome. For each angiogram, we identified clinical features of the patients and characteristics of the requesting cardiologists. We also identified angiogram positivity, defined as at least 1 epicardial coronary stenosis ≥50% luminal narrowing. We then constructed a series of mixed‐effects logistic regression models to analyze predictors of positive coronary angiograms. We assessed variation by physician in the models with median odds ratios. Over this time period, 5015 angiograms were identified. We excluded angiograms ordered by cardiologists requesting <10 angiograms. Among the remaining 2925 angiograms, 1450 (49.6%) were positive. Significant predictors of positive angiograms included age, male patients, and peripheral arterial disease. After adjustment for clinical variables only, the median odds ratio was 1.23 (95% CI 1.0–1.36), consistent with only borderline clinical variation after adjustment. In the full clinical and nonclinical model, the median odds ratio was 1.07 (95% CI 1.07–1.20), also consistent with clinically insignificant variation. Conclusions: Substantial variation exists among requesting cardiologists with respect to positive and negative coronary angiograms. After adjustment for clinical variables, there was only borderline clinically significant variation. These results emphasize the importance of risk adjustment in reporting related to quality and value.

Background: Early readmission after PCI is an important contributor to healthcare expenditures and a target for performance measurement. The extent to which 30‐day readmissions after PCI are preventable is unknown yet essential to minimizing their occurrence. Methods and Results: PCI patients readmitted to hospital at which PCI was performed within 30 days of discharge at the Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital were identified, and their medical records were independently reviewed by 2 physicians. Each reviewer used an ordinal scale (0, not; 1, possibly; 2, probably; and 3, definitely preventable) to rate clinical preventability, and a total sum score ≥2 was considered preventable. Characteristics of preventable and unpreventable readmissions were compared, and predictors of clinical preventability were assessed by using multivariate logistic regression. Of 9288 PCIs performed, 9081 (97.8%) patients survived to initial hospital discharge and 1007 (11.1%) were readmitted to the index hospital within 30 days. After excluding repeat readmissions, 893 readmissions were reviewed. Fair agreement between physician reviewers was observed (weighted κ statistic 0.44 [95% CI 0.39 to 0.49]). After aggregation of scores, 380 (42.6%) readmissions were deemed preventable and 513 (57.4%) were deemed not preventable. Common causes of preventable readmissions included staged PCI without new symptoms (14.7%), vascular/bleeding complications of PCI (10.0%), and congestive heart failure (9.7%). Conclusions: Nearly half of 30‐day readmissions after PCI may have been prevented by changes in clinical decision‐making. Focusing on these readmissions may reduce readmission rates.

Background: Contemporary rates of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy and associated outcomes among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have been poorly described. Methods and Results: Using data from an integrated health care system from 2009 to 2014, we identified patients on OACs within 30 days of PCI. Outcomes included in‐hospital bleeding and mortality. Of 9566 PCIs, 837 patients (8.8%) were on OACs, and of these, 7.9% used non–vitamin K antagonist agents. OAC use remained stable during the study (8.1% in 2009, 9.0% in 2014; P=0.11), whereas use of non–vitamin K antagonist agents in those on OACs increased (0% in 2009, 16% in 2014; P<0.01). Following PCI, OAC‐treated patients had higher crude rates of major bleeding (11% versus 6.5%; P<0.01), access‐site bleeding (2.3% versus 1.3%; P=0.017), and non–access‐site bleeding (8.2% versus 5.2%; P<0.01) but similar crude rates of in‐hospital stent thrombosis (0.4% versus 0.3%; P=0.85), myocardial infarction (2.5% versus 3.0%; P=0.40), and stroke (0.48% versus 0.52%; P=0.88). In addition, prior to adjustment, OAC‐treated patients had longer hospitalizations (3.9±5.5 versus 2.8±4.6 days; P<0.01), more transfusions (7.2% versus 4.2%; P<0.01), and higher 90‐day readmission rates (22.1% versus 13.1%; P<0.01). In adjusted models, OAC use was associated with increased risks of in‐hospital bleeding (odds ratio 1.50; P<0.01), 90‐day readmission (odds ratio 1.40; P<0.01), and long‐term mortality (hazard ratio 1.36; P<0.01). Conclusions: Chronic OAC therapy is frequent among contemporary patients undergoing PCI. After adjustment for potential confounders, OAC‐treated patients experienced greater in‐hospital bleeding, more readmissions, and decreased long‐term survival following PCI. Efforts are needed to reduce the occurrence of adverse events in this population.

Importance In the U.S. presidential election of 2016, substantial shift in voting patterns occurred relative to previous elections. Although this shift has been associated with both education and race, the extent to which this shift was related to public health status is unclear. Objective: To determine the extent to which county community health was associated with changes in voting between the presidential elections of 2016 and 2012. Design: Ecological study with principal component analysis (PCA) using principal axis method to extract the components, then generalized linear regression. Setting: General community. Participants: All counties in the United States. Exposures Physically unhealthy days, mentally unhealthy days, percent food insecure, teen birth rate, primary care physician visit rate, age-adjusted mortality rate, violent crime rate, average health care costs, percent diabetic, and percent overweight or obese. Main outcome The percentage of Donald Trump votes in 2016 minus percentage of Mitt Romney votes in 2012 (“net voting shift”). Results: Complete public health data was available for 3,009 counties which were included in the analysis. The mean net voting shift was 5.4% (+/- 5.8%). Of these 3,009 counties, 2,641 (87.8%) had positive net voting shift (shifted towards Trump) and 368 counties (12.2%) had negative net voting shift (shifted away from Trump). The first principal component (“unhealthy score”) accounted for 68% of the total variance in the data. The unhealthy score included all health variables except primary care physician rate, violent crime rate, and health care costs. The mean unhealthy score for counties was 0.39 (SD 0.16). Higher normalized unhealthy score was associated with positive net voting shift (22.1% shift per unit unhealthy, p < 0.0001). This association was stronger in states that switched Electoral College votes from 2012 to 2016 than in other states (5.9% per unit unhealthy, p <0.0001). Conclusions and relevance Substantial association exists between a shift toward voting for Donald Trump in 2016 relative to Mitt Romney in 2012 and measures of poor public health. Although these results do not demonstrate causality, these results suggest a possible role for health status in political choices.