Person:

Wolf, Jacqueline

Objectives Patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) who are in clinical remission may still have underlying endoscopic inflammation, which is associated with inferior clinical outcomes. The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence of, and factors associated with, active endoscopic disease in patients with UC who are in clinical remission.

Design Prospective observational study in a single center. Patients with UC in clinical remission (by SCCAI) were enrolled prospectively at time of surveillance colonoscopy. Disease phenotype, endoscopic activity (Mayo sub-score) and histological score (Geboes) were recorded, and blood was drawn for peripheral blood biomarkers.

Results 149 patients in clinical remission were prospectively enrolled in this cohort; 81% had been in clinical remission for > 6 months, and 86% were currently prescribed maintenance medications. At endoscopy 45% of patients in clinical remission had any endoscopic inflammation (Mayo endoscopy sub-score >0) and 13% had scores >1. In a multivariate model, variables independently associated with a Mayo endoscopic score >1 were remission for < 6 months (p=.001), WBC (p=0.01) and CRP (p=0.009). A model combining these three variables had a sensitivity of 94% and a specificity of 73% for predicting moderate-severe endoscopic activity in patients in clinical remission (AUC 0.86). In an unselected sub-group of patients who had peripheral blood mononuclear cell mRNA profiling, GATA3 mRNA levels were significantly higher in patients with endoscopic activity.

Conclusions Duration of clinical remission, WCC and CRP can predict the probability of on-going endoscopic activity despite clinical remission in patients with UC. These parameters could be used to identify patients who require intensification of treatment to achieve mucosal healing.