Person: Bui, Ngoc Thao Nguyen
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Publication How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification
(Growth Lab, 2024-10) Bui, Ngoc Thao Nguyen; Protzer, Eric; Freeman, Timothy; Hausmann, Ricardo; Villasmil, Ricardo; Rueda Sanz, Alejandro; O'Brien, Timothy; Lamby, Lucas; Kaddah, Farah; Henn, SophiaWyoming’s longstanding strengths in resource extraction provide much of its livelihood, including its private earnings and public finances. However, its lack of activity in other sectors exposes Wyoming to economic shocks. This paper examines the state’s binding constraints to growth and identifies opportunities for diversification. The authors propose that Wyoming look to its advanced services and manufacturing sectors, which lag behind those in other states. The state has made critical investments in education to help generate the necessary pools of skilled labor, but the exodus of young people and families makes it exceedingly difficult.
Publication What Will It Take for Jordan to Grow?
(Center for International Development at Harvard University, 2022-03) O'Brien, Timothy; Bui, Ngoc Thao Nguyen; Frasheri, Ermal; Garcia, Fernando; Protzer, Eric; Villasmil, Ricardo; Hausmann, RicardoThis report aims to answer the critical but difficult question: "What will it take for Jordan to grow?" Though Jordan has numerous active growth and reform strategies in place, they do not clearly answer this fundamental question. The Jordanian economy has experienced more than a decade of slow growth. Per capita income today is lower than it was prior to the Global Financial Crisis as Jordan has experienced a refugee-driven population increase. Jordan’s comparative advantages have narrowed over time as external shocks and responses to these shocks have changed the productive structure of Jordan’s economy. This was a problem well before the country faced the COVID-19 pandemic. The Jordanian economy has lost productivity, market access, and, critically, the ability to afford high levels of imports as a share of GDP. Significant efforts toward fiscal consolidation have further constrained aggregate demand, which has slowed non-tradable activity and the ability of the economy to create jobs. Labor market outcomes have worsened over time and are especially bad for women and youth. Looking ahead, this report identifies clear and significant opportunities for Jordan to strengthen new engines of export growth that would enable better overall job creation and resilience, even amidst the continued unpredictability of the pandemic. This report argues that there is need for a paradigm shift in Jordan’s growth strategy to focus more direct attention and resources on activating “agents of change” to accelerate the emergence of key growth opportunities, and that there are novel roles that donor countries can play in support of this.