Person: Wagner, Rodrigo
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Wagner
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Rodrigo
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Wagner, Rodrigo
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Publication Certification Strategies, Industrial Development and a Global Market for Biofuels(Center for International Development at Harvard University, 2009-12) Hausmann, Ricardo; Wagner, RodrigoA disproportionately large amount of the world's agronomic potential for the production of bio-ethanol is concentrated in a subset of developing countries. To develop that potential, countries need both the existence of an appropriate local business ecosystem and reliable global demand. The creation of a global market for green biofuels, however, is affected by a constellation of diverse and sometimes conflicting policy goals, which tend to complicate policy discussion. In this paper we compile a set of principles to guide the design of a global market for green biofuels.Publication Doing Growth Diagnostics in Practice: A 'Mindbook'(Center for International Development at Harvard University, 2008-09) Hausmann, Ricardo; Klinger, Bailey; Wagner, RodrigoThis paper systematizes the implementation of the Growth Diagnostics framework. It aims to give the meta-steps that a persuasive growth diagnosis should have, and elaborates on the strategies and methods that may be used. Rather than a step-by-step instruction manual or handbook, this paper is meant to be a ‘mindbook’, suggesting how to think about the problem of identifying a country’s constraints to growth.Publication Growth Collapses(Center for International Development at Harvard University, 2006-10) Rodríguez, Francisco; Hausmann, Ricardo; Wagner, RodrigoWe study episodes where economic growth decelerates to negative rates. While the majority of these episodes are of short duration, a substantial fraction last for a longer period of time than can be explained as the result of business-cycle dynamics. The duration, depth and associated output loss of these episodes differs dramatically across regions. We investigate the factors associated with the entry of countries into these episodes as well as their duration. We find that while countries fall into crises for multiple reasons, including wars, export collapses, sudden stops and political transitions, most of these variables do not help predict the duration of crises episodes. In contrast, we find that a measure of the density of a country's export product space is significantly associated with lower crisis duration. We also find that unconditional and conditional hazard rates are decreasing in time, a fact that is consistent with either strong shocks to fundamentals or with models of poverty traps.Publication The Birth and Growth of New Export Clusters: Which Mechanisms Drive Diversification?(Center for International Development at Harvard University, 2017-09) Bahar, Dany; Stein, Ernesto; Wagner, Rodrigo; Rosenow, SamuelExport diversification is associated with economic growth and development. Our paper explores competing mechanisms that mediate the emergence and growth of export products based on their economic relatedness to pre-existing exports. Our innovation is to simultaneously consider supply factors like labor, sourcing and technology; as well as demand factors like industry specific customer-linkages in a global setting. We find that, while technology and workforce similarity explain emergence and growth, pre-existing downstream industries remain a robust predictor of diversification, especially for jumpstarting new exports in developing countries. Our global stylized fact generalizes Javorcik’s (2004) view that spillovers are more likely in backward linkages.