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Stern, Dalia

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Stern

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Dalia

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Stern, Dalia

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  • Publication

    On the Increasing Incidence of SARS-CoV- 2 in Older Adolescents and Younger Adults During the Epidemic in Mexico

    (Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, 2021-05-03) Stern, Dalia; Lajous Loaeza, Martin; De la Rosa, Blanca; Goldstein, Edward

    Objective: To estimate temporary changes in the incidence of SARS-CoV-2-confirmed hospitalizations (by date of symptom onset) by age group during and after the national lockdown.

    Materials and methods: For each age group g, we computed the proportion E(g) of individuals in that age group among all cases aged 10-59y during the early lock-down period (April 20-May 3, 2020), and the corresponding proportion L(g) during the late lockdown (May 18-31, 2020) and post-lockdown (June 15-28, 2020) periods and computed the prevalence ratio: PR(g)=L(g)/E(g).

    Results: For the late lockdown and post-lockdown periods, the highest PR values were found in age groups 15-19y (late: PR=1.69, 95%CI 1.05,2.72; post-lockdown: PR=2.05, 1.30,3.24) and 20-24y (late: PR=1.43, 1.10,1.86; post-lockdown: PR=1.49, 1.15,1.93). These estimates were higher in individuals 15-24y compared to those ≥30y.

    Conclusions: Adolescents and younger adults had an increased relative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 during late lockdown and post-lockdown periods. The role of these age groups should be considered when implementing future pandemic response efforts.