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Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: A Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform Act

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1995

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University of Chicago Press
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Feldstein, Martin. 1995. Effect of marginal tax rates on taxable income: A panel study of the 1986 tax reform act. Journal of Political Economy 103(3): 551-572.

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This paper uses a Treasury Department panel of more than 4,000 taxpayers to estimate the sensitivity of taxable income to changes in tax rates based on a comparison of the tax returns of the same individual taxpayers before and after the 1986 tax reform. The analysis emphasizes that the response of taxable income involves much more than a change in the traditional measures of labor supply. The evidence shows an elasticity of taxable income with respect to the marginal net-of-tax rate that is at least one and that could be substantially higher. The implications for recent tax rate changes are discussed.

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