The TeleStroke Mimic (TM)‐Score: A Prediction Rule for Identifying Stroke Mimics Evaluated in a Telestroke Network

Abstract

Background: Up to 30% of acute stroke evaluations are deemed stroke mimics (SM). As telestroke consultation expands across the world, increasing numbers of SM patients are likely being evaluated via Telestroke. We developed a model to prospectively identify ischemic SMs during Telestroke evaluation. Methods and Results: We analyzed 829 consecutive patients from January 2004 to April 2013 in our internal New England–based Partners TeleStroke Network for a derivation cohort, and 332 cases for internal validation. External validation was performed on 226 cases from January 2008 to August 2012 in the Partners National TeleStroke Network. A predictive score was developed using stepwise logistic regression, and its performance was assessed using receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. There were 23% SM in the derivation, 24% in the internal, and 22% in external validation cohorts based on final clinical diagnosis. Compared to those with ischemic cerebrovascular disease (iCVD), SM had lower mean age, fewer vascular risk factors, more frequent prior seizure, and a different profile of presenting symptoms. The TeleStroke Mimic Score (TM‐Score) was based on factors independently associated with SM status including age, medical history (atrial fibrillation, hypertension, seizures), facial weakness, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale >14. The TM‐Score performed well on ROC curve analysis (derivation cohort AUC=0.75, internal validation AUC=0.71, external validation AUC=0.77). Conclusions: SMs differ substantially from their iCVD counterparts in their vascular risk profiles and other characteristics. Decision‐support tools based on predictive models, such as our TM Score, may help clinicians consider alternate diagnosis and potentially detect SMs during complex, time‐critical telestroke evaluations.