Genetic variance estimation with imputed variants finds negligible missing heritability for human height and body mass index

Abstract

We propose a method (GREML-LDMS) to estimate heritability for human complex traits in unrelated individuals using whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data. We demonstrate using simulations based on WGS data that ~97% and ~68% of variation at common and rare variants, respectively, can be captured by imputation. Using the GREML-LDMS method, we estimate from 44,126 unrelated individuals that all ~17M imputed variants explain 56% (s.e. = 2.3%) of variance for height and 27% (s.e. = 2.5%) for body mass index (BMI), and find evidence that height- and BMI-associated variants have been under natural selection. Considering imperfect tagging of imputation and potential overestimation of heritability from previous family-based studies, heritability is likely to be 60–70% for height and 30–40% for BMI. Therefore, missing heritability is small for both traits. For further gene discovery of complex traits, a design with SNP arrays followed by imputation is more cost-effective than WGS at current prices.