The Dynamics of Molecular Evolution Over 60,000 Generations

Abstract

The outcomes of evolution are determined by a stochastic dynamical process that governs how mutations arise and spread through a population. Here, we analyze the dynamics of molecular evolution in twelve experimental populations of Escherichia coli, using whole-genome metagenomic sequencing at 500-generation intervals through 60,000 generations. Despite a declining rate of fitness gain, molecular evolution continues to be characterized by signatures of rapid adaptation, with multiple beneficial variants simultaneously competing for dominance in each population. Interactions between ecological and evolutionary processes play an important role, as long-term quasi-stable coexistence arises spontaneously in most populations, and evolution continues within each clade. We also present new evidence that the targets of natural selection change over time, as epistasis and historical contingency alter the strength of selection on different genes. Together, these results show that long-term adaptation to a constant environment can be a more complex and dynamic process than is often assumed.