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Epidemiology of Childhood Drowning in the United States: National Analysis with Environmental Case Study and Implications for Clinical Practice, Policy, and Prevention

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2026-05-18

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Ndoye, Ndieme Ouleye. 2026. Epidemiology of Childhood Drowning in the United States: National Analysis with Environmental Case Study and Implications for Clinical Practice, Policy, and Prevention. Doctoral Dissertation, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

Abstract

Drowning is the leading cause of death among children aged 1–4 years in the United States, a pattern that has persisted despite decades of evidence-based prevention strategies. Childhood drowning mortality is concentrated in early childhood, marked by persistent racial disparities, and strongly shaped by the environments in which children encounter water. This study examines national patterns of childhood drowning mortality alongside a detailed environmental case study in Texas to better understand how drowning risk varies across age, race and ethnicity, and drowning environment. National mortality data were analyzed in combination with Texas setting-specific fatality data to characterize patterns by age and environmental context. Findings demonstrate a clear developmental pattern in drowning risk. Bathtub and container drownings occur primarily during infancy, residential swimming pool drownings predominate during early childhood, and natural water environments increasingly account for deaths during adolescence. Drowning deaths among young children were overwhelmingly concentrated in residential backyard pools. Persistent racial disparities further reflect differences in access to swimming skills, water safety resources, and safe aquatic environments. These findings indicate that childhood drowning risk is age-specific, environmentally patterned, and shaped by structural inequities. Prevention strategies must therefore be aligned with the environments in which children are exposed to water at different stages of development.

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child health, drowning prevention, injury prevention, water safety, Public health, Health sciences

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