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The Myth of the October Surprise

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2024-01-16

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Morales Izaguirre, Ramon. 2024. The Myth of the October Surprise. Master's thesis, Harvard University Division of Continuing Education.

Abstract

The October surprise has the undeserved reputation of being a decisive phenomenon in the popular vote, capable of upending presidential elections. This research will present historical and statistical evidence to prove that the October surprise has not been electorally significant in the elections in which it has allegedly occurred. On the contrary, the October surprise is a narrative tool used by political campaigns, media outlets, and publishing houses to promote stories and control the political agenda in the final stretch of the electoral season.

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Campaigns, Elections, October, Surprise, Political science, Journalism, American history

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