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Tail probabilities for triangular arrays

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2013

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American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)
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Fudenberg, Drew, and David K. Levine. 2013. Tail Probabilities for Triangular Arrays. Journal of Dynamics and Games 1(1): 45–56. doi:10.3934/jdg.2014.1.45

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Abstract

Di erent discrete time triangular arrays representing a noisy signal of players' activities can lead to the same limiting di usion process yet lead to di erent limit equilibria. Whether the limit equilibria are equilibria of the limiting continuous time game depends on the limit properties of test statistics for whether a player has deviated. We provide an estimate of the tail probabilities along these arrays that allows us to determine the asymptotic behavior of the best test and thus of the best equilibrium.

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triangular array, tail probabilities, limit equilibria, continuous-time games

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