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Sanctions and Export Deflection: Evidence from Iran

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2017-01

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Center for International Development at Harvard University
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Haider, Jamal Ibrahim. “Sanctions and Export Deflection: Evidence from Iran.” CID Research Fellow and Graduate Student Working Paper Series 2017.80, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, January 2017.

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Do export sanctions cause export deflection'? Data on Iranian non-oil exporters between January 2006 and June 2011 shows that two- thirds of these exports were deflected to non-sanctioning countries after sanctions were imposed in 2008, and that at this time aggregate exports actually increased. Exporting firms reduced prices and increased quantities when exporting to a new destination, however, and suffered welfare losses as a result.

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