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Scenarios of Socioeconomic Development for Studies of Global Environmental Change: A Critical Review

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Toth et al, 1989.pdf (13.54 MB)

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1989-06

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http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3224/

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IIASA
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Toth. F.L., E. Hizsnyik and W.C. Clark (1989). Scenarios of Socioeconomic Development for Studies of Global Environmental Change: A Critical Review. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-89-004

Abstract

This study (1) critically reviews existing studies of global trends in population, agriculture, and energy with a view toward showing which studies are most useful for which sorts of studies of global environmental change and sustainable development. (2) Synthesizes a single, internally consistent scenario of global changes in population, agriculture, and energy over the next century for use as a "conventional wisdom" reference case for such studies. (3) Creates a number of "surprise-rich" scenarios of world development for use in exploring unconventional, but not impossible, patterns of human activities that might be useful for exploring the outer limits of global environmental change.

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RR-89-004 Laxenburg, Austria

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http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:42333703

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