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Now showing items 31-38 of 38
Female Employment and Fertility in Rural China
(John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2010)
Data on 2,288 married women from the 2006 China Health and Nutrition Survey are deployed to study how off-farm female employment affects fertility. Such employment reduces a married woman’s actual number of children by ...
The Methodology of Normative Policy Analysis
(John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2011)
Policy analyses frequently clash. Their disagreements stem from many sources, including models, empirical estimates, and values such as who should have standing and how different criteria should be weighted. We provide a ...
Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom
(2016)
Some preliminary experiments the authors conducted suggested that when instructors asked students to raise their hands to indicate support for a certain answer or position, the results they got were very different than ...
Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences
(Harvard Kennedy School, 2022-07)
We study the classic divide-and-choose method for equitably allocating divisible goods between two players who are rational, self-interested Bayesian agents. The players have additive private values drawn from common ...
Betrayal Aversion: Evidence from Brazil, China, Oman, Switzerland, Turkey, and the United States
(American Economic Association, 2008-02)
Due to betrayal aversion, people take risks less willingly when the agent of uncertainty is another person rather than nature. Individuals in six countries (Brazil, China, Oman, Switzerland, Turkey, and the United States) ...
Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences
(Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government, 2022-07)
We study the classic divide-and-choose method for equitably allocating divisible goods between two players who are rational, self-interested Bayesian agents. The players have additive private values drawn from common ...
Extreme Leaders As Negotiation Anchors
(Harvard Kennedy School, 2022-04)
Legislative leaders tend to be ideologically more extreme than their median members. Why? This paper shows that party members select extreme leaders as a strategic measure to anchor negotiations. Anchoring succeeds because ...
Strategy Is Only Partly an Illusion: “Relative Foresight” as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence
(Harvard Kennedy School, 2024-05)
Foreign policy-makers must grapple with complexity, uncertainty, and subjectivity. As Betts (2000) puts it, these challenges raise the possibility that “strategy is an illusion”: that there is no reliable method for assessing ...